Work programme for Study Commission on
"Sustainable Energy Supplies in View of Globalization and
Liberalization"
Decision of Study Commission at meeting of 26th June 2000
Introduction:Agreement on sustainability goals and rules for the field of energy
- fleshing out the concept of "sustainable development"
- indicators/quality objectives for a sustainable energy supply in the short, medium and long terms; in particular, agreement on appropriate climate protection goals
Main focus 1: Analysis of global, European and national situation and prospects (until February 2001 - interim report - CSD paper)
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Description of situation and prospects of world-wide energy demand and supply in the short, medium and long terms on the basis of current scenarios.
- a) Competition for energy resources, especially after
2010
- situation regarding resources and reserves
- geopolitical aspects
- potential for conflict
- b) Global climate problems and climate protection goals
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Liberalization of electricity and gas markets in the EU and its consequences
3.1 Implementation in EU member states
3.2 National framework conditions
3.3 Consequences of liberalization for
- individual energy sources
- structure of players within the energy industry
- energy price levels, industry and jobs
- climate and environmental protection
- development of energy services
- Impact of EU enlargement on the energy sector and energy-related environmental consequences
- Convergence and conflict with energy and environmental policy goals, models and scope for action.
- Recommendations for an action programme to 2010/2020, taking into account their impact on changes in greenhouse gas emissions, industry and the employment market.
Main focus 2: Analysis of the various options and scope for future energy supply and use with regard to sustainability (until May 2001)
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interrelationships, in the fields of
- transport
- buildings (incl. existing buildings)
- households
- trade, commerce and services
- industry
- agriculture and food industry
- mining and energy industry
for the various energy types, technologies and possibilities of achieving energy savings with regard to
- technical and economic scope
- constraints
- costs (incl. external costs)
- cumulative energy and raw material costs
- emissions (environmental impact)
- waste
- risks
and an evaluation of these from an economic, ecological and social point of view.
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Strategies for tapping potential: R&D - policy, removing constraints, instruments etc.
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Scope for exporting new technologies (industrial goods and ancillary services)
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Job creation potential
Main focus 3: Analysis of instruments and scope for action to ensure sustainable energy supply (until October 2001)
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Action programmes and instruments for using the sectoral and technological scope at national and European level
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Analysis and initial evaluation of the instruments of the Kyoto Protocol (contributions to goals, efficiency etc.)
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Analysis and initial evaluation of other global instruments (contribution to goals, efficiency etc.)
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Recommendations for action and further instruments for German policymakers in an international context, including
- foreign policy initiatives to involve threshold countries more closely in international activities for climate protection
- re-definition of development policy objectives in the field of energy
- promotion of technology and exports
- involvement of international organisations
Main focus 4: Energy scenarios - planning sustainable energy supply for Germany in a European and global context (until December 2001)
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Establishing objectives and evaluation criteria for the scenarios; based on reduction of emissions by industrial states of up to 80% by 2050
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Reference scenario (continuation of present trends, taking into account foreseeable demographic and economic developments and existing or probable political conditions).
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Sustainability and climate protection scenarios
3.1 Renewable energy sources and fossil fuels plus energy savings
3.2 Renewable energy sources plus enforced energy savings
3.3 Renewable energies, nuclear energy and fossil fuels plus energy savings
These scenarios include
- a detailed quantitative assessment for Germany
- more highly aggregated quantitative assessments for Europe
- a (possibly) only qualitative assessment of world-wide aspects for periods to 2020, 2030 and 2050.
Main focus 5: (until April 2002 - final report - Rio +
10)
Recommendations for implementation of strategies for a sustainable
energy supply
Summary of the work of the Study Commission